Civilization101Blueprint

The Ladder

Every step lists what you need first, what it unlocks, how it can hurt you, and how to check it worked. Mark off what you have done and the ladder shows what you can start next.

0
Triage
Any survivor, day one Day 0 – Day 90 ≥ 1+ people

Stop dying. Nothing else on this site matters until this tier is closed.

Energy used: about 5,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's hunting stage (100,000 BC) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is water and body heat, not food. You have roughly 3 days without water and 3 hours without shelter in a cold wind, against 3 weeks without food. Almost everyone who dies in the first month dies of dehydration, hypothermia, or a diarrhoeal infection from their own camp — not of starvation, and not of predators.
A spring emerging from rock — the best water available without technology.
t0-water-find
Secure a source you can reach twice a day, forever, without a fight.
Water Guide ×3BuildSheet ×2
A rolling boil: no dose, no timer, nothing to measure.
t0-water-safe
Kill what is in the water before it kills you.
Water Guide ×5BuildSheet ×2 70–100 °C
A bow drill in use: bearing block in the left hand, wrist locked to the shin, foot on the board, spindle outside the bow.
t0-fire
Make fire from nothing, then never make it from nothing again.
Energy Guide ×3Sheet ×16 Up to ~600 °C in an open fire
Dry-stone and thatch shepherds' huts. Shelter is a heat problem before it is an architecture problem.
t0-shelter
Get off the ground, out of the wind, and dry.
Shelter Guide ×2Sheet ×11
A raised composting latrine, vented and reachable from outside.
t0-latrine
Break the faecal–oral route on day one, before habits form.
Water Guide ×5BuildSheet
Za'atari camp, Jordan, 2013: shelters in blocks along a straight main street, with open ground kept for services.
t0-camp
Place shelters, water, latrines and paths on the first day so that fire, flood and faecal disease cannot sweep the camp.
Settlements Guide
Struck flint flakes and a hammerstone. The first tool that makes other tools.
t0-cut
Make something that cuts, and something that can make another one.
Tools Guide ×3Sheet
Hemp rope, laid up from fibre. Almost nothing else on the ladder gets built without it.
t0-cord
Turn plant fibre into string, then string into rope.
Materials Guide ×4Build ×2Sheet ×7
A woven funnel trap — passive gear that works while you sleep.
t0-food
Take calories out of the landscape while you wait for agriculture to start paying.
Food Guide ×5Build ×2Sheet ×7
Basket weaving near Lake Ossa, Cameroon. Carrying and storing come before almost everything.
t0-containers
Carry, store and cook — before you have pottery.
Materials Build
A packed first aid kit. Most of what saves a life here is clean water, pressure and patience.
t0-firstaid
Stop bleeding, prevent infection, and set what is broken.
Health Guide ×5
Sundanese rice granaries on capped posts. Seed held back is next year's food.
t0-seed
Protect the genetic capital that everything above this tier is built on.
Food Guide ×5
A village panchayat office in Kerala — where a community's decisions are actually made.
t0-org
Agree the rule for making decisions, before you need to make a hard one.
Society Guide
Petroglyphs at Golpayegan, Iran. Marks that outlast the people who cut them.
t0-record
Begin, on day one, the deliberate transfer of what you know to people who will outlive you.
Knowledge
1
Foothold
Neolithic Month 3 – Year 3 ≥ 12+ people

Convert from taking calories out of the landscape to putting them in. Stop moving.

Energy used: about 12,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's primitive agricultural stage (5000 BC) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is the first harvest. Between clearing ground and eating from it there is a gap of six to eighteen months during which the group is still living on foraged food while spending its labour on something that pays nothing yet. Groups fail here by planting too late, planting too little, or eating the seed stock in the hungry month before harvest.
A 1650 sundial. Knowing the date is what makes planting on time possible.
t1-calendar
Know when to plant, without being told.
Food Guide ×4
Burnt clearing in northern Thailand — ground opened, and fertility released in one go.
t1-clear
Turn wild land into a field that does not lose its fertility in five years.
Food Guide ×5BuildSheet
Ripe wheat. Calories that store, from a crop you can save seed from.
t1-staples
Grow enough storable calories to stop foraging.
Food Guide ×3Build ×2Sheet
Split fish drying on racks. Preservation is the difference between a harvest and a year of food.
t1-preserve
Still be eating in March what you grew in August.
Food Guide ×4Build ×2Sheet ×4
Dried maize (left) and the same maize after simmering and steeping in lime water (right): swollen, softened, skins loosened so they rub off. Only the right-hand kernels release their niacin to the body.
t1-nutrition
Keep a farming group from sickening on its own staple.
Health Guide ×2
Cleaning teeth with a chewing stick: the end is chewed until its fibres splay into a brush, then worked along the teeth and the gum line. The used end is cut off and a fresh one chewed.
t1-teeth
Keep teeth through a starch-heavy diet, and recognise the dental infection that kills.
Health
Cattle on summer pasture — traction, milk, manure and stored wealth on four legs.
t1-animals
Convert grass you cannot eat into food, fibre, fertiliser and power.
Food Guide ×3Sheet ×2
Building a cob wall by hand: subsoil, straw and water, laid in lifts.
t1-shelter
Build something that lasts thirty years, from what is under your feet.
Shelter Guide ×3Build ×4Sheet ×11
Flood heights on a pole beside the Balonne River at St George, Queensland: the 1890 mark stood until 2010, 2011 and 2012 went higher.
t1-site
Settle where water lasts the dry season, floods cannot reach the floors, the ground drains and the wind carries smoke away.
Settlements Guide ×2
A hewn-log cabin on a stone foundation, with a shake roof and projecting eaves. The stones lift the bottom logs clear of the ground and the splash.
t1-dwelling
Before the first footing is dug, a plan drawn to scale fixes where the fire and its smoke go, how many people sleep in each room, the wall weight for the climate, the house's turn to the winter sun, the overhang for its latitude, the openings for a through-draught, the floor height, and where the animals and the latrine stand.
Shelter Guide
An updraught kiln at full firing. Pottery is the first step that needs real temperature control.
t1-pottery
Make a fire-proof, waterproof, permanent container — and learn to control temperature.
Materials GuideBuild 600–1,000 °C
A handloom in Kachchh, Gujarat, with the warp under tension and the pattern building up.
t1-textiles
Make cloth, so you are not dependent on hides.
Materials Guide ×2BuildSheet ×2
Hides being worked in a tannery. Leather is the flexible, tough material available before polymers.
t1-tanning
Turn raw hide into a material that does not rot.
Materials Guide ×2BuildSheet
Handmade soap — fat and alkali, and the largest single reduction in disease anyone has ever achieved.
t1-soap
Make the cheapest life-saving technology ever invented.
Health Guide ×5Build
A midwife at a home appointment. Childbirth is where population growth is won or lost.
t1-midwifery
Stop losing mothers and infants to preventable causes.
Health Guide ×2
A pole lathe: springy pole, cord, treadle. The first machine that shapes a part rather than a tool.
t1-woodwork
Make things accurately from wood, including the machines that will later work metal.
Tools Guide ×2Build ×2
A dugout on the Simsang river, Meghalaya: one log, hollowed, with a bamboo pole for pushing off the bottom. Long and narrow runs fast and straight but tips easily — a boat for calm river water.
t1-boats
Cross and work water without drowning — raft, dugout and paddle.
Transport Guide ×2Build ×3Sheet ×9
Medieval tally sticks, split so both parties hold a matching record of a debt.
t1-tally
Write down who owes what, before anyone mints anything.
Economy Guide
An 1860 boundary stone. A border everyone can see is a quarrel that does not happen.
t1-property
Establish who holds which ground, in a form that outlives the argument.
Society Guide ×2
Inside a qanat at Gonabad, Iran — a water tunnel no single household could have dug.
t1-commonworks
Build the thing everyone needs and nobody owns — and settle who pays for it.
Society Guide ×2Sheet
A reconstructed palisade at Archeoparc, Schnalstal: pointed poles set upright in a trench and lashed to horizontal rails. It does not stop a determined attacker; it slows one and forces the approach to the gate.
t1-watch
Make the settlement hard to surprise, raid or burn — without starting a feud.
Society Guide
2
Forge
Bronze and Iron Age Year 2 – Year 12 ≥ 60+ people

Get above 1,100 °C and keep a written record. These two moves open more doors than everything below them combined.

Energy used: Bronze and Iron Age societies sit between Cook's primitive (12,000) and advanced (26,000) agricultural stages; he gives no figure for them. · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is fuel, not ore. Bog iron and surface copper are common; sustained high temperature is not. A single bloomery smelt eats a stack of charcoal that takes a week to burn and a hectare of coppice to grow. Groups that skip charcoal and try to smelt with raw wood never reach temperature and conclude, wrongly, that they have no ore.
An earthed charcoal clamp part-way through its burn.
t2-charcoal
Make a fuel that burns hot enough to melt metal.
Energy Guide ×5Build ×2Sheet ×16 Produces fuel capable of 1,200 °C+
A clay bloomery shaft after a smelt, with the slag pit in front of the tap.
t2-smelt
Extract metal from rock.
Materials Guide ×6Build ×4Sheet 1,100–1,300 °C
The forge fire at working heat in a village smithy, Lysychovo, Ukraine.
t2-smith
Shape metal into tools — including the tools for shaping metal.
Tools Guide ×2Build ×4Sheet 800–1,300 °C
A stone draw kiln cut into a bank — mortar, plaster and clean water all start here.
t2-lime
Burn limestone and unlock mortar, plaster, flux, and disinfection.
Materials Guide ×6Build ×2Sheet ×10 900 °C+
Extruded bricks coming off the line. Standard units make building predictable.
t2-brick
Make a standard, repeatable building unit — and something that will line a furnace.
Materials Guide ×3Build ×3Sheet ×10 900–1,100 °C
A bricklayer in Zambia raising a house wall in fired brick from a pole scaffold, 2017. Each course is laid to a string line and the joints are broken by half a brick.
t2-masonry
Walls of fired brick or stone in lime mortar, a roof that does not burn, and a chimney that takes every trace of smoke out of the house.
Shelter GuideBuildSheet ×10
Calf housing on a farm at Dodonovo (2012): timber pens down one side of a passage, whitewashed walls, and daylight from the open end.
t2-barn
House the herd and its winter fodder so that the bedding stays dry, the air stays below the ammonia limit, the hay cannot burn the byre or the house, and nothing from either reaches the well or the people.
Shelter Hay core: pull it apart at 66 °C; at 79 °C stop the air and call fire cover Floor fall 1.5–2 % to the channel; ridge slot 5 cm per 3 m of building width
Salt pans at Manaure, Colombia. Preservation, nutrition and, for a long time, money.
t2-salt
Secure a mineral you cannot live without and cannot grow.
Materials Guide
Cuneiform cut into rock at Van. A record that does not depend on anyone remembering it.
t2-writing
Move knowledge out of heads and onto something that outlives them.
Knowledge
A classroom. Deliberate teaching is how a generation keeps what the last one worked out.
t2-school
Build the institution that makes knowledge survive a death.
Knowledge Guide
A horse and cart. The wheel matters only as far as the road does.
t2-wheel
Move heavy things further than you can carry them.
Transport GuideBuild ×2
A replica of the Gokstad Viking ship being built in Tønsberg, Norway, 2026: clinker planks overlapping, riveted through the laps and held by frames inside.
t2-plank-boats
Build boats of planks that carry a family and its goods, row them with oars sized by rule, and add a sail only to a boat that passes the stability test.
Transport GuideBuildSheet ×8
A train of Eddy kites on one line at Fanø, Denmark, 1994: several kites share the line and add their pull.
t2-kites
Fly kites that carry a line across a river or a gorge, lift an aerial or a signal, and show how a surface held at an angle to the wind makes lift.
Transport GuideBuildSheet ×5
Terraced fields in the Haraz Mountains, Yemen — water held on a slope instead of running off it.
t2-irrigate
Put water where the crop is, when the crop needs it.
Food Guide ×5Sheet ×2
Earthen fish ponds at Ndyabusole, Masaka, Uganda (2024): a stepped row of rectangular ponds separated by grassed dikes, laid out down a gentle slope.
t2-fishpond
Grow a crop of fish in a fenced, drainable earthen pond that holds its water, keeps the dawn oxygen above the species' minimum, and is drained, harvested and dried each cycle.
Food GuideBuild Nile tilapia grow best at 27–30 °C and are in danger below 12 °C; common carp 23–26 °C Secchi disc 40–60 cm; dawn oxygen above 3–4 mg/l
A brewhouse. Fermentation preserves calories, makes water safer, and teaches process control.
t2-brew
Put microbes to work — your first biotechnology.
Materials Guide ×4Build 78 °C (ethanol boiling point)
An apothecary's shelves. Knowing dose and identity is what separates medicine from poison.
t2-medicine
Build a small, honest pharmacopoeia from what grows locally.
Health Guide
A soroban in daily use. Arithmetic everyone can do is infrastructure.
t2-numeracy
Make counting, measuring and reckoning ordinary rather than specialist.
Knowledge Guide ×3
The Code of Hammurabi. Rules stop being arbitrary once they are published.
t2-writtenlaw
Put the rules where everyone can read them, and separate judging from ruling.
Society Guide
A large equal-arm balance from a German pharmacy, early 20th century: a cast-iron column, a brass beam on a central knife-edge and a pan hung from each end.
t2-weights
Give every market a balance whose readings can be checked and a set of reference weights within published tolerances, held to a master by an office that verifies, stamps and re-inspects them.
Economy Guide Trade weights within OIML class M tolerances: 1 kg to ±50 mg (M1), ±160 mg (M2) or ±500 mg (M3)
A census enumerator in Bangladesh, 2022: identity card on a lanyard, a vest that marks the role, and the questionnaire on a tablet. A paper form does the same job; the visible identity is what gets the door opened.
t2-census
Count every person and dwelling as at one date, so that decisions about food, water, schools and shares start from a number rather than a guess.
Society Guide
A planned town from the air — plots, streets and blocks decided before anyone built.
t2-plot
Lay out the settlement before it lays itself out.
Settlements GuideBuild
3
Mill
Medieval to early modern Year 8 – Year 30 ≥ 300+ people

Put something other than muscle to work, and start making machines that make machines.

Energy used: about 26,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's advanced agricultural stage (AD 1400) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is precision. A water wheel is easy; a water wheel driving a lathe that cuts a true cylinder is not. You cannot make a tool more accurate than the tool that made it — except through a handful of self-referential tricks, and until you know them you are stuck at the accuracy of your hands.
Overshot wheels at the Hexenloch mill — the first power that is not muscle.
t3-waterpower
Get a source of continuous power that is not a muscle.
Energy Guide ×4BuildSheet ×21
A full set of sails with their shutters closed. The sail is twisted along its length — steeper at the hub, nearly flat at the tip — because the tip travels several times faster and meets the wind almost edge-on.
t3-windpower
Get continuous power where there is no falling water — which is most places.
Energy Guide ×2BuildSheet ×23
A flight of locks at Dunardry on the Crinan Canal, seen over the balance beams of one pair of gates to the next lock up. Each chamber lifts a boat a few metres; a flight climbs a hill in steps.
t3-canals
Carry bulk goods by water where no river goes, and lift boats over hills.
Transport Guide ×2Sheet ×7
The barque Picton Castle under full sail: square sails on its masts, and fore-and-aft sails between them.
t3-ships
Build and sail decked ships that cross open sea with cargo and crew, without capsizing, sinking or losing the crew to scurvy.
Transport Guide ×2Sheet ×7
A hot-air balloon in flight, 2021: the basket hangs below the open mouth, the burner between them.
t3-balloons
Lift a load with heated air or a light gas, tether it for observation or signals, and know exactly how much it can carry and what makes it burn.
Transport GuideBuildSheet ×5
A centre lathe. Machines that make machine parts are the hinge of the whole ladder.
t3-machinetools
Build machines that make machines — and break the accuracy ceiling.
Tools Guide ×3Build ×3 0.1 mm → 0.01 mm
Rolled steel reinforcing bar. Iron becomes structural once carbon and heat treatment are controlled.
t3-steel
Make metal hard enough to cut other metal.
Materials Guide ×2Build 900–1,100 °C
Cement being mixed on site. A binder that sets under water changes what can be built.
t3-cement
Make artificial stone you can pour into any shape.
Materials Guide ×4BuildSheet ×10 1,400–1,450 °C
Glassblowing. Transparent, inert containers make chemistry and medicine possible.
t3-glass
Make a transparent, chemically inert, formable solid.
Materials Guide ×2Build ×2 1,100–1,500 °C
A small glasshouse on a brick base with a row of cold frames in front of it, in the botanic garden at Leuven, Belgium.
t3-glasshouse
Raise transplants before the last frost and keep tender crops growing after the first, under glass warmed by the sun, by rotting manure and by a wall that holds the day's heat.
Food GuideBuild Sow at 24 °C in the hotbed soil
Sheep strip-grazing a field of turnips (2021): an electric fence is moved forward a strip at a time, so the flock eats the crop where it grew and dungs the field for the cereal that follows.
t3-rotation
Run the fields as one system: a rotation whose fodder crops feed the stock and whose manure feeds the grain, wet land underdrained so it can be worked and sown, and grain drilled in rows at a known rate and depth so it can be counted and hoed.
Food GuideSheet
Raising a timber-frame bent, 2008: posts, tie beam, rafters and diagonal knee braces joined flat on the ground, then lifted and stood up as one piece.
t3-frame
Frame a building in timber on a masonry plinth, brace it so it cannot rack, glaze its windows, and keep it dry, warm and ventilated.
Shelter Guide ×4Sheet ×10
A titration. Acids are useless until you can say how strong they are.
t3-acid
Make sulphuric acid, and with it most of industrial chemistry.
Materials Guide ×3
Plant at a soda ash works. Alkali underpins soap, glass, paper and textiles at once.
t3-alkali
Make soda ash and caustic soda at scale.
Materials Guide ×2
A voltaic pile in the Tempio Voltiano, Como: a stack of alternating zinc and copper discs with brine-soaked separators, held in a wooden frame, with a copper strip leading off each end.
t3-battery
Make a steady electric current from chemicals — for the telegraph, plating and electrolysis — before there is any generator.
Energy Guide Zinc boils at 907 °C; distil it at 1,100–1,200 °C
Lifting a sheet from the vat. Cheap paper is what makes cheap knowledge possible.
t3-paper
Make a cheap, plentiful writing surface.
Knowledge
Metal movable type in the case. Copying stops being the bottleneck.
t3-printing
Make copies faster than people can write them.
Knowledge
Washing hands. The single cheapest intervention in the history of medicine.
t3-germ
Establish that disease is caused by organisms — and act on it.
Health Guide ×6Build
Making up chlorine solution at a water collection point in Awerial, South Sudan, 2014: the product goes into a small marked bucket, with a basin of river water behind, before it is added to collected water.
t3-chlorine
Make sodium hypochlorite from salt, water and direct current, measure its strength, and dose drinking water so that 0.2–0.5 mg/L of free chlorine remains 30 minutes later.
Water Guide ×2Sheet Brine 20–27 °C at the start; keep the cell below 35 °C Free chlorine 0.2–0.5 mg/L at the collection point, 30 minutes after dosing
A theodolite. You cannot build to a tolerance you cannot measure.
t3-instruments
Turn observation into numbers.
Knowledge Guide ×5Build ×2 Repeatable to 1%
French cast-iron metric weights of 5 kg, 2 kg, 1 kg, 500 g and 200 g: the 1, 2, 5 series, with the value cast into each top.
t3-units
Fix the units, hold the standards, and make every measurement comparable to every other.
Knowledge Guide ×4
An experiment on a bench. The controlled comparison is the machine that makes reliable knowledge.
t3-method
Establish how you decide whether something is actually true.
Knowledge Guide
An 1830s account book. Double entry makes an enterprise auditable by someone who was not there.
t3-ledger
Keep accounts a stranger can check.
Economy Guide ×2
A coining screw press at the Germanisches Nationalmuseum, Nuremberg: the weighted bar swings the screw down to strike the blank between two dies in one blow.
t3-coin
Strike coins of a weight, fineness and size fixed in law, at one mint working under seal, and prove every year, in public, that they meet the standard.
Economy Guide Every coin within the weight, size and fineness limits the law sets, shown by the yearly public trial
A Sumerian contract for the sale of a field and a house, Shuruppak, about 2600 BC. Price, parties and witnesses written into clay: the enforceable promise is older than coinage.
t3-contract
Make a promise between strangers as reliable as one between kin, by writing it down and having a court enforce it quickly and cheaply.
Society Guide
A childhood vaccination. Health becomes a public system rather than a private accident.
t3-publichealth
Give someone the standing, the information and the power to act on disease before it spreads.
Society Guide ×5
Brick terraces at Am Salzhaff, Wismar, Germany (2018): the party walls rise through the tiled roofs as parapets, so fire in one roof space cannot run along the row.
t3-fire
Write and enforce a building code that stops a fire in one building from reaching the next, gets everyone out of the building it starts in, and puts enough water within reach of every building.
Settlements Guide Party wall at least 375 mm above the roof; escape window at least 0.33 m² and 450 × 450 mm
4
Engine
Industrial revolution Year 20 – Year 60 ≥ 2,000+ people

Burn stored sunlight instead of current sunlight. Break the land-area limit on energy.

Energy used: about 77,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's industrial stage (AD 1875) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is concentrated fuel and the pressure vessel that survives it. Coal and coke are worth nothing without boiler plate that will not split, which needs rolling mills, which need steam. The bootstrap out of this circle is small, low-pressure, and made of the best wrought iron you can forge by hand.
Coke. Coal with the volatiles driven off, and the fuel that made cheap iron possible.
t4-coal
Break the land-area limit on energy.
Energy Guide ×2Sheet ×16 Coke supports 1,600 °C+
A blast furnace at Sagunto. Iron by the thousand tonnes rather than the kilogram.
t4-blast
Make iron by the tonne instead of by the kilogram.
Materials Guide 1,500–2,000 °C
A traction engine under steam — power that goes where the water and coal do.
t4-steam
Turn heat into motion, anywhere you want it.
Energy Guide ×3Sheet ×16 Bore round and parallel within ~0.5 mm
A final assembly line. Interchangeable parts turn craft into manufacture.
t4-factory
Make many identical things, and make them repairable.
Tools Guide Held to specified tolerance, not fitted
Mallard. Bulk transport overland at a cost that reshapes where things are made.
t4-rail
Move mass cheaply overland.
Transport
The paddle steamer Waverley on the Firth of Clyde, 2013: a wheel on each side, driven by a steam engine.
t4-steamships
Drive ships by steam against wind and current, build them of iron and steel, and stop them being overloaded or blown up by their own boilers.
Transport GuideSheet ×7
A replica of the Wright 1902 glider in a museum: biplane wings, the elevator in front, the rudder behind, the pilot lying on the lower wing.
t4-gliders
Design wings from measured data, make a glider stable and controllable in all three axes, and prove it with models, a wind tunnel and unmanned tests before anyone rides it.
Transport GuideBuild ×2Sheet ×6
Sewer pipe going into a trench. Unglamorous, and it saves more lives than any hospital.
t4-sanitation
Keep a dense settlement from poisoning itself.
Water Guide ×2
Tetanus toxoid vials, Bandung. The circle-and-square on each label is a vaccine vial monitor, which darkens with accumulated heat. Use the vial while the inner square is lighter than the ring; discard it once the square matches the ring or is darker.
t4-cold
Hold food and medicine at a set cold temperature, all year, anywhere.
Food Guide 2–8 °C held; −18 °C for frozen food
A telegraph key. The first time a message travelled faster than a person.
t4-telegraph
Make information travel faster than people.
Computing Guide ×3Sheet
An operating theatre. Surgery becomes survivable once pain and infection are both controlled.
t4-anaesthesia
Make surgery survivable and therefore worth attempting.
Health Guide ×2
Journals on the shelf. Priority by publication is what makes discovery cumulative.
t4-journal
Make disclosing what you know the self-interested move.
Knowledge Guide
The Long Room of the Old Library at Trinity College Dublin: a university's books outlast every teacher and student who uses them.
t4-university
Found universities that hold knowledge beyond any one teacher's lifetime: self-governing, free to teach and publish, examining to standards checked from outside, and reviewed by an independent agency.
Knowledge Guide
The on-site laboratory of the Blue Grass Chemical Agent-Destruction Pilot Plant: an analyst works at a fume hood, testing the plant's output to confirm the chemical agent has been destroyed.
t4-lab
Run laboratories whose results can be trusted and reconstructed after the investigator has gone: written procedures, calibrated instruments, raw data recorded and archived, quality checked by people independent of the work, hazards controlled by assessment, and competence proven to an outside body.
Knowledge Guide
The Bank of England. Credit lets a project be paid for before it earns anything.
t4-credit
Move purchasing power across time, and survive the moment everyone wants it back at once.
Economy Guide
A share certificate of Handley Page Limited, aircraft makers, 1927: fifty fully paid preference shares in a named holder, numbered, subject to the company's Memorandum and Articles of Association and given under its common seal.
t4-company
Let anyone form a company by registering it, let thousands of people invest in it while risking only what they put in, and pay for that protection with a public register, audited accounts and a board bound by duties to the shareholders.
Economy Guide
Old land-register volumes for four parishes, kept by the district court at Feldkirch, Austria, which now keeps the register electronically. Each property has its own entry: the parcel, the owner, and every charge on it.
t4-registry
Keep one public, durable record of who owns which land, who was born and who died, and which companies exist and who controls them.
Society Guide
Examination cells at the Jiangnan examination hall, Nanjing. Each candidate sat alone in a cell for days, on boards that served as desk and bed; the papers were copied out by clerks before marking so the examiners could not recognise the handwriting.
t4-service
Run each public function through a department with one written mandate, staffed by officials hired on merit who serve whoever is lawfully in charge.
Society Guide
The Berezina in spring flood near Uhlata, Belarus (2023): water covers the whole floodplain, and the village stands on the higher ground beyond it.
t4-zoning
Every parcel has a published zone, every odour, dust or major-hazard works stands at least its separation distance from homes and downwind and downstream of them, no home stands in the functional floodplain, and no hazardous-substance store stands in the 1 % flood zone.
Settlements Guide ×2
A cast-iron column at Immenstadt station, Germany (2025): riveted iron beams bear on its capital, and the column carries their load straight down in compression.
t4-ironframe
Raise buildings of three storeys and more on iron columns, iron or steel beams and brick walls, with every load traced to the ground, cast iron used only where it is squeezed, walls no more slender than the code allows, and the iron protected from fire.
Shelter Guide
5
Current
Second industrial revolution Year 45 – Year 110 ≥ 20,000+ people

Move energy without moving matter, and break the nitrogen limit on food.

Energy used: about 230,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's technological stage (AD 1970) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is copper, insulation, and clean chemistry. Electricity is conceptually simple and materially demanding: it needs drawn wire in quantity, an insulator that does not fail wet, and — for anything past lighting — sulphuric acid at industrial scale. Haber-Bosch, which decides how many people you can feed, needs high pressure and a catalyst, and is the single hardest process on this site.
A hydroelectric generator hall. Energy that can be sent down a wire instead of a shaft.
t5-generator
Convert motion into electricity, and electricity back into motion.
Energy Guide ×4Sheet ×21
An aluminium smelter. Electricity makes metals that heat alone cannot reach.
t5-electrochem
Use electricity to do chemistry that heat cannot.
Materials Guide ×2Sheet ×6
An oil refinery. One feedstock, separated into fuels, lubricants and chemical precursors.
t5-oil
Get a liquid fuel — dense, portable and pourable.
Energy GuideSheet ×16 Fractions from 40 °C to 400 °C
A sectioned diesel engine — combustion moved inside the cylinder, and power went mobile.
t5-engine
Put a compact engine in a vehicle.
Transport Bore and piston within ~0.02 mm
A replica of the 1903 Wright Flyer: the pilot prone on the lower wing beside the engine, chains to two pusher propellers, the elevator in front.
t5-aeroplane
Add an engine and propellers to a controllable airframe, keep weight and balance inside limits, and fly only proven, inspected designs with trained pilots.
Transport GuideSheet ×7
Line handlers wait as the Virginia-class attack submarine USS Hartford comes in on the surface, 2009. Even surfaced, most of the hull sits under water.
t5-submarines
Take a hull under water and bring it back: trim it with ballast, build it for the pressure at its depth, and dive only a classed, tested design with a trained crew.
Transport Sheet
A nitrogen fertiliser works. Roughly half the nitrogen in your body passed through a plant like this.
t5-haber
Pull fertiliser out of the air.
Materials Guide 400–500 °C at 150–300 atmospheres
Penicillium under the microscope. The mould that made bacterial infection survivable.
t5-antibiotics
Make infection survivable.
Health Guide ×3
A communications receiver. Messages without wires, and without permission from the terrain.
t5-radio
Communicate with no wire between you.
Computing Guide ×4Sheet
Everyday polymers. Cheap, formable, waterproof — and the waste problem arrives with them.
t5-polymers
Make materials with properties no natural material has.
Materials
Venlo-type glasshouses in the Westland, the Netherlands: rows of narrow glass roofs on steel columns, with hinged roof vents.
t5-greenhouse
Hold the crop's temperature, humidity, light and carbon dioxide within range all year, at a heating and cooling cost worked out before the house is built.
Food GuideBuild ×2 Crop air 17–27 °C; below 10 °C or above 35 °C most crops stop
Lettuce on floating rafts in a greenhouse (2016): the roots hang in a pond of aerated nutrient solution, a large, stable volume that buffers mistakes better than a thin film.
t5-hydroponics
Grow greenhouse crops with their roots in a flowing nutrient solution or an inert substrate, with the solution's strength, acidity and oxygen measured every day and held in the crop's range.
Food GuideBuild Air for lettuce about 24 °C by day and 18 °C at night EC and pH read every day; NFT channels at 1.2–3.0 % fall with no dips
Reinforcing bars laid in mats across a bridge deck before the pour, CSVT River Bridge, Pennsylvania (2020); a gantry robot ties the crossings, and every bar is set on chairs to hold its cover.
t5-concrete
Build frames of reinforced concrete or steel, or confined masonry, that carry their loads with the steel where the tension is, the concrete mix, cover and curing the exposure needs, and the earthquake detailing the region needs, each stage inspected before it is hidden.
Shelter Guide Keep fresh concrete damp for at least 7 days; structural steel keeps about 60 % of its strength at 550 °C Cover to the bars within the drawing's figure; hoops 75–100 mm apart in earthquake zones
A polling station in Thailand, 2023, laid out in the open: voter lists posted on the board at left, the check-in table, screened booths, and sealed ballot boxes in plain view.
t5-rights
Put the rules that bind the rule-makers into a supreme, published law that they cannot change alone and that courts enforce against them.
Society Guide
A Poupatempo counter in São Paulo, 2023. One building issues identity cards, driving licences and other documents from several departments, by appointment, at one counter.
t5-citizen
Give every person one place to get any public service, with published requirements, fee and deadline, and someone independent to complain to.
Society Guide
The seat of the European Central Bank beside the River Main, with the Frankfurt skyline behind, 2015: the bank sets interest rates for the euro area to hold inflation at 2 % over the medium term.
t5-monetary
Measure the price level every month, give an independent central bank a published inflation target and the tools to meet it, and make banks safe enough that a run on one does not become a run on all.
Economy Guide Inflation held close to a published target, such as 2 % a year
A Galton board: balls bouncing at random off rows of pins pile up in the bell-shaped normal distribution, the curve behind the 1.96 in a 95 % confidence interval.
t5-statistics
Draw samples at random, state the uncertainty of every estimate, fix the plan before the data arrive, read significance tests for what they are, and believe a finding only when it has been replicated.
Knowledge Guide
The rotary press of the Basque daily newspaper Euzkadi, preserved in the Orconera building at Lutxana.
t5-press
Let anyone publish without a licence, protect what they publish from punishment for criticising the powerful, keep the media many and independent, protect journalists and their sources, and hold the press to correcting its own errors.
Knowledge
Chinese cabbage under drip irrigation (2023): a drip line runs along each row, wetting the soil at the plants and leaving the paths dry.
t5-drip
Put each crop's water at its roots through pipes, in the amount the crop uses, when the soil says it needs it, with every emitter on a line delivering within 10 % of the others.
Food GuideBuildSheet Emitter flows within 10 % of each other along a line; pressure within 20 %
La Plata, Argentina, from the air (2019): a planned city whose square grid of blocks and broad avenues was laid out before it was built, with the countryside beyond.
t5-city
Before the city reaches its fringe, reserve the land it will need for 20–30 years, secure an arterial grid about 1 km apart with its rights-of-way, lay a street hierarchy and utility corridors inside it, and publish the plan.
Settlements Guide ×2
6
Logic
Electronic and computing Year 90 – Year 170 ≥ 500,000+ people

Make matter that computes. Stop paying for every copy of a thing you know.

Energy used: about 230,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's technological stage (AD 1970) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is purity and cleanliness, not cleverness. Semiconductor silicon must be 99.9999999% pure — nine nines — and worked in air cleaner than an operating theatre. Every step is understood; none is achievable by a workshop. This tier cannot be reached by a village, however skilled, and that is the honest answer.
A valve radio. Amplification and switching, before anything was solid state.
t6-electronics
Control a large current with a small one.
Computing Guide ×4Sheet
An integrated circuit die. Thousands of switches printed at once instead of assembled.
t6-semiconductor
Make matter with controllable conductivity — the hardest thing on this site.
Computing Guide Nine-nines purity; sub-micron features
The Atanasoff–Berry Computer. Calculation that follows a stored rule rather than a hand.
t6-computing
Automate reasoning that is mechanical.
Computing Guide ×4
A data centre. Machines that are only worth this much because they are connected.
t6-network
Let every store of knowledge reach every person.
Computing Guide
A cutaway turbofan on display, 2018: fan, compressor, combustor and turbine in one long casing.
t6-jets
Understand the gas turbine, the pressurised cabin, the helicopter and the air traffic system that let aircraft fly high, fast and safely in crowded skies.
Transport GuideSheet ×9
A replica of Hollerith's tabulator, built for the United States census of 1890: each punched card closed circuits through the press at right, and each dial counted one category.
t6-accountability
Give the public numbers it can trust about what government spends and achieves, produced and checked by offices the government cannot instruct.
Society Guide ×2
Combine-harvesting wheat in Punjab, India, in April 2023: the short, stiff-strawed wheat of the Green Revolution, grown with fertilizer and irrigation from wells.
t6-greenrev
Breed and supply short-strawed, high-yielding cereal varieties with the fertilizer and water they need, and pay their known costs up front: metered groundwater, no highly hazardous pesticides, a gene bank for the varieties they replace, and nutrients bred back into the staples.
Food Guide ×2Sheet
7
Frontier
Contemporary and beyond Year 150+ ≥ Millions people

Reach the point you started from — then decide, deliberately, what to do differently.

Energy used: about 230,000 kcal per person per day, Cook's technological stage (AD 1970) · where civilization stands

Binding constraint. The binding constraint is no longer technical. Everything in this tier is a choice about coordination, incentives and time horizons. The failure modes are institutional: extraction outrunning replacement, knowledge held privately, and short-term decisions with century-long consequences.
Offshore wind turbines. Energy without the carbon bill attached to it.
t7-energy
Reach an industrial energy supply that does not have to be paid for twice.
Energy Guide ×5Sheet ×21
A container ship alongside at Koper, Slovenia, 2023, with the quay cranes over its stacks of standard boxes.
t7-shipping
Move the world's goods by sea safely and with falling emissions, and build and equip small boats to the standards that keep their crews alive.
Transport Guide ×2Sheet ×11
A four-rotor camera drone in flight, 2018.
t7-aviation
Fly people and goods with the safety of today's airlines, fly drones within the rules, and cut aviation's emissions.
Transport GuideSheet ×8
A row of DNA sequencers. Biology becomes something you can read and then write.
t7-bio
Read and write the code that living things run on.
Health Guide
The Svalbard Global Seed Vault — an institution built to outlive everyone who built it.
t7-institutions
Build the machinery that makes the other steps hold.
Society Guide
Discarded machines. Not everything on this ladder is worth climbing back up.
t7-choose
Use the one genuine advantage a second attempt has: hindsight.
Society Guide ×2
Seedling trays on automated racks under LED light in a vertical farming system (2025): every tier is lit, watered and cooled by machine, and every one of those draws electricity.
t7-cea
Grow leafy greens, herbs and transplants on stacked tiers under electric light, with the electricity per kilogram worked out before building, and the room held safe for the people working in it.
Food Guide Lettuce about 24 °C by day and 18 °C at night Light, temperature, humidity and CO₂ logged and held to set points around the clock
A no-till drill sowing straight into the previous crop's residue (2024): the soil is not ploughed and the stubble stays on the surface as a mulch.
t7-farming
Raise yields on the land already farmed while cutting the nitrogen, water, methane and soil each tonne costs, and stop losing the harvest after it is grown, each change measured on the farm.
Food GuideSheet
Articulated TransMilenio buses on dedicated lanes in Bogotá, Colombia (2018): bus rapid transit on an arterial, separated from the general traffic beside it.
t7-city
Build and renew neighbourhoods to UN-Habitat's five principles, with public transport and open space within a short walk of everyone, and plan, measure and report disaster risk against the Sendai Framework's targets.
Settlements Guide